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\begin{tabular}{lcccccc} \hline
 & (1) & (2) & (3) & (4) & (5) & (6) \\
VARIABLES & CPI inflation & Core CPI inflation & Services CPI inflation & Services CPI excluding shelter inflation & Services CPI excluding shelter inflation & Services CPI excluding shelter inflation \\ \hline
 &  &  &  &  &  &  \\
Unemployment rate & -0.394*** & -0.379*** & -0.445*** & -0.111 & 0.119* & -0.187** \\
 & [0.066] & [0.052] & [0.063] & [0.080] & [0.061] & [0.090] \\
Core CPI inflation &  &  &  &  &  &  \\
 &  &  &  &  &  &  \\
First lag & -0.214*** &  &  &  &  &  \\
 & [0.040] &  &  &  &  &  \\
First lag &  & 0.105*** &  &  &  &  \\
 &  & [0.034] &  &  &  &  \\
First lag &  &  & 0.156*** &  &  &  \\
 &  &  & [0.041] &  &  &  \\
First lag &  &  &  & -0.043 & 0.089* & 0.019 \\
 &  &  &  & [0.032] & [0.048] & [0.046] \\
1 year ahead inflation expectations & 1.948*** & 0.225 & 0.828*** & 2.000*** & 1.596*** & 2.590*** \\
 & [0.142] & [0.141] & [0.189] & [0.306] & [0.160] & [0.445] \\
 &  &  &  &  &  &  \\
Observations & 1,525 & 1,525 & 1,525 & 1,525 & 965 & 965 \\
R-squared & 0.547 & 0.487 & 0.481 & 0.406 & 0.326 & 0.412 \\
Metro area FE & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\
Year FE & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & No & Yes \\
Seasonal dummies & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes & Yes \\
 Sample & 1990-2017 & 1990-2017 & 1990-2017 & 1990-2017 & 1990-2007 & 1990-2007 \\ \hline
\multicolumn{7}{c}{ Robust standard errors in brackets} \\
\multicolumn{7}{c}{ *** p$<$0.01, ** p$<$0.05, * p$<$0.1} \\
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